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Site sourcing and screening — North Dakota

Phase 1 of 11

"NDHFA only has $3.7 million in 9% credits and one closing date all year -- what actually gets a site rejected before I even get to compete for a piece of that?"

Not yet coveredDays to a few weeks per site for the screening itself, but the whole exercise is boxed in by a single annual 9% closing date (the last business day of September) and a statewide ceiling small enough that most sites are competing for a few million dollars, not a queue.

The QAP everyone finds first is not the QAP that governs an application filed today

This is worth stating before anything else, because it changes which document the rest of this phase is built on. The file NDHFA has published for years at a stable URL, titled the "2026 Allocation Plan," lists exactly one 9% application round with a closing date of September 30, 2025 -- a date that, as of today, is nearly a year in the past. That is not a typo: North Dakota, like a handful of other small-allocation states, approves next year's plan the year before, so the "2026" plan governs credits allocated during calendar 2026 based on an application that closed in September 2025. But the Industrial Commission has since moved on. Its own March 25, 2026 meeting minutes record approval of a full "2027 Low Income Housing Tax Credit Qualified Allocation Plan," following a draft published February 17, 2026, a public comment period that closed March 4, 2026, and a hearing held March 6, 2026 -- and that 2027 plan's own text sets its Round 1 application window opening September 1, 2026 and closing on the last business day of that month. As of today, that closing date is roughly a week away. A developer who found only the "2026" PDF through a search engine and built a submission calendar around it would be planning against a cycle that already closed.

One more thing worth flagging rather than explaining away: the "2026" PDF still hosted at NDHFA's own site carries a printed page-footer date of 06/10/2025 on every page, but the file's own metadata shows it was last modified February 26, 2026 -- eight months after that printed date, and after its own Round 1 had already closed. Nothing in the visible text suggests a substantive change (the content matches what the footer date implies), and this could simply be a routine server-side re-save. It is called out here only because the research standard for this library is to flag exactly this kind of unexplained gap between a document's stated date and its file history rather than assume it away, and because sibling states in this same library have had QAPs quietly amended in place without a renamed file.

Which document to use
DocumentWhat it actually isStatus as of today
"2026LIHTCAllocationPlan.pdf"Round 1 closed September 30, 2025; governs 2026 credit allocationsCycle already closed; superseded as the operative document
"2027LIHTCAllocationPlan.pdf"Approved by the Industrial Commission March 25, 2026; Round 1 opens September 1, 2026 and closes the last business day of September 2026The current, governing plan -- source for the rest of this phase

Both are agency-published plans adopted under IRC Section 42's Qualified Allocation Plan requirement, not administrative rules codified in the North Dakota Administrative Code -- there is no NDAC citation to check against either one.

What actually gets a site disqualified

The 2027 plan's site-suitability standard lives in Section 3(B), under "Ineligible Projects," not in the scoring section at all. It is short, it is discretionary, and its trigger phrase is a rejection ground rather than a checklist item to satisfy: "Agency may reject an application for detrimental characteristics on or adjacent to the proposed project site unless a satisfactory remediation plan and budget are provided." The list itself is explicitly non-exhaustive ("Unsuitable sites include, but are not limited to, those that..."), which means the four enumerated categories are a floor for what the Agency will flag, not a ceiling.

NDHFA's unsuitable-site list (Section 3.B)
FeatureBuffer / standard
Airports, industrial properties, pipelines, hazardous waste disposal or storage sites, sewage treatment plants, sanitary landfills, commercial junk or salvage yards, wastewater treatment facilities1/2 mile
Frequently used railroad tracks, electrical substations, power transmission lines or towers500 feet
Unsuitable slope, terrain, or physical barriersNo fixed distance -- Agency judgment
Flood hazard area or wetlandsNo fixed distance -- categorical exclusion unless mitigated

Every one of these is curable in principle with "a satisfactory remediation plan and budget," the same conditional-not-absolute pattern seen in other states' QAPs -- but the plan gives no worked example of what the Agency will actually accept as satisfactory, unlike, say, Texas's named buffer-and-mitigation regime.

What is not on this list, or anywhere else in the plan's scoring section, is a points table for a site's proximity to transit, grocery stores, schools, medical care, or employment -- the kind of amenity-distance scoring that drives site selection in California's and Texas's competitive rounds. North Dakota's own "Geographic Location" heading, which sits inside Section 7 (Project Ratings) where a scoring table would normally be, carries no points at all: "No more than two projects will be approved in any one city during a competitive application round." It is a hard cap, not a score -- a good site in a city that already has two pending applications ahead of it in the same round is dead on arrival regardless of the site's own merits, and that fact will not show up in any location-scoring analysis because there isn't one.

One ceiling, one closing date, and a Native American set-aside that runs first

The 2027 plan's Round 1 allocates $3,701,073 in 9% credits statewide -- the same figure printed in the 2026 plan for its own Round 1, a coincidence worth independently verifying with NDHFA rather than assuming reflects any particular formula, since the plan itself does not explain how the figure is derived. Additional 9% rounds are possible but are published "at the sole discretion of the Agency" -- nothing in the current plan commits to a second round. Applications must score a minimum of 55 points to be eligible for further consideration at all, out of a maximum that adds up to roughly 100 across all scoring categories, which means the state's entire 9% program for the cycle is decided in a single competitive window.

Two structural facts change how a site should be screened before that window opens. First, Section 8(B)'s Native American Set-Aside requires the Agency to "award the highest-scoring qualified application in the first application round located within North Dakota Indian reservations or on tribal land (either held in trust or fee-simple), subject to the Maximum Credit Limit" -- a real, guaranteed set-aside for a site on a reservation or on the Trenton Indian Service Area, not merely a scoring preference. Second, 4% credits paired with tax-exempt bond financing run on an entirely separate, non-competitive track: proposals may be submitted "at any time between January 1st and August 31st," and the 2027 plan states plainly that "Applications for an allocation of noncompetitive 4% LIHTCs are not subject to a minimum score." A 4% bond deal in North Dakota is not fighting for a place in the same $3.7 million pool at all.

$3,701,073 -- one round, closing the last business day of September 20262027 Round 1 9% ceiling
55 pointsMinimum score to be eligible for further consideration
Non-competitive, accepted January 1 - August 31, no minimum score4% / bond-financed deals
$355.79 in the 2027 plan, down from $468.25 in the 2026 plan -- a roughly 24% year-over-year drop worth confirming directly with NDHFA before treating either figure as a stable planning numberMaximum qualified basis per square foot

The Bakken makes the market study the real screening tool, not the map

North Dakota's population is heavily concentrated in four cities -- Fargo, Bismarck, Grand Forks, and Minot -- and thin almost everywhere else, but the exception that matters most for site screening is the oil-producing counties of the Bakken formation in the northwest: McKenzie, Williams, Mountrail, Dunn, and Stark. The U.S. Census Bureau's own account of the 2010-2019 period names these five counties as the five fastest-growing in the entire Northern Great Plains region, and separately reports that McKenzie County -- home to Watford City -- was "the fastest-growing county in the nation" over that span, driven by the oil extraction boom. Decennial Census counts put McKenzie County's population at 6,360 in 2010 and 14,704 in 2020, a 131% increase, and Williams County's at 22,398 in 2010 and 40,950 in 2020. The Census Bureau's own regional summary also notes these same oil counties "experienced growth in the beginning of the decade, lost population in the middle of the decade, and then grew again" -- boom, partial bust, and a second boom, inside a single ten-year window.

That volatility lands directly on the one diligence item every application needs regardless of score: the market study required under Section 5(J), which "must have been completed within six (6) months of Application Close Date" and must follow National Council of Housing Market Analysts (NCHMA) content standards. A six-month-old market study is a reasonable freshness window in Fargo or Bismarck, where demand moves slowly. In a Bakken county that has already gone through one boom-bust-boom cycle inside a decade, six months is a much thinner margin of safety, and a screening pass that stops at the QAP's physical unsuitable-site list without separately stress-testing the market study's demand assumptions against that county's own recent population swings is checking the wrong risk.

QCT and DDA status is federal, not an NDHFA layer -- and this plan does not publish its own list

Basis boost eligibility in Section 2(B) tracks the standard federal designations directly: a project "entirely located within a HUD-designated Difficult Development Area (DDA)" or "entirely located within a HUD-designated Qualified Census Tract (QCT)" qualifies for a 30% increase in non-acquisition eligible basis, available to tax-exempt bond deals as well as 9% deals. Nothing in either the 2026 or 2027 plan layers a state-specific geography on top of that federal designation, and nothing in the plan republishes HUD's own county- or tract-level QCT/DDA list. That determination has to be pulled from HUD's own SADDA lookup tool for the current calendar year -- this research did not independently verify which specific North Dakota tracts or non-metro counties currently carry a QCT or DDA designation, and that list changes annually, so it should be treated as a live lookup rather than a fact to hardcode.

Redevelopment scoring (Section 7.B) does reach QCT status indirectly -- a project "in a QCT or city revitalization area established by resolution or other legal action by the city" can earn 5 points if it also contributes to a locally-adopted, geographically-bounded revitalization plan, with a specific carve-out excluding plans "so broad as to encompass the entire community or so narrow as to encompass only the project's subject property." That is a real, if narrow, use of QCT status inside the scoring table -- but it is the only one, and it is not a location score in the sense CA or TX developers would recognize.

Where this leaves screening in practice

A North Dakota screen has fewer open datasets to check than California's or Texas's and a shorter physical-disqualifier list, but it trades that simplicity for two things that matter more here than almost anywhere else in this library: a hard annual ceiling small enough that the two-projects-per-city cap and the Native American set-aside can each single-handedly decide whether a given site is even worth submitting this cycle, and a market whose fastest-growing corner has already proven it can add and shed population inside a single reporting decade. EZFeasi has no North Dakota parcel, zoning, QCT/DDA, or award data loaded in any tool today -- this entire phase is greenfield product work.

Where this goes wrong

  • Building a 2026 application calendar off the file still hosted as "2026LIHTCAllocationPlan.pdf." Its own Round 1 closed September 30, 2025; the governing document for anyone applying today is the 2027 Allocation Plan, whose Round 1 closes the last business day of September 2026.
  • Treating NDHFA's plan as silent on site quality because it has no location-scoring table. Section 3(B)'s unsuitable-site list operates as a discretionary rejection ground, not a scored category, and missing it entirely because it doesn't look like a scoring table is a real, easy mistake.
  • Reading the "Geographic Location" heading in Section 7 as a scoring category because it sits among the scored items. It carries no points -- it is a flat two-projects-per-city cap that can eliminate an otherwise strong site with zero warning in a score sheet.
  • Assuming a site's physical clearance under Section 3(B) says anything about its Native American Set-Aside eligibility, or vice versa. They are unrelated gates -- one is a disqualifier list, the other is a guaranteed first-round award for the highest-scoring qualified reservation or tribal-land application.
  • Applying a 4% bond deal's site-screening logic as if it were competing in the same pool as 9% credits. Non-competitive 4% deals are not subject to the 55-point minimum or the $3.7 million ceiling at all, and are accepted on a rolling basis January 1 through August 31.
  • Treating a six-month-old market study in a Bakken county the same as a six-month-old market study in Fargo. The oil counties have already lived through a boom-bust-boom cycle inside one Census decade; the same freshness window carries materially more risk there.
  • Assuming EZFeasi or any other tool has a current North Dakota QCT/DDA list to check against. That designation is federal, changes annually, and has to be pulled from HUD's own lookup tool -- this research did not independently verify a current North Dakota county-level list.
  • Reading the unsuitable-site list's four categories as exhaustive. The plan's own language -- "include, but are not limited to" -- preserves Agency discretion to flag a site on grounds not enumerated at all.
  • Comparing this cycle's construction costs against last year's Maximum Qualified Basis Per Square Foot figure without checking the current year's number. The ceiling dropped from $468.25 (2026 plan) to $355.79 (2027 plan) -- a roughly 24% swing worth confirming with NDHFA rather than carrying forward.

At a glance

Governing document as of today
2027 Allocation Plan, approved by the Industrial Commission March 25, 2026; Round 1 opens September 1, 2026 and closes the last business day of September 2026
Superseded document still hosted at a stable URL
"2026LIHTCAllocationPlan.pdf" -- its own Round 1 closed September 30, 2025
2027 Round 1 9% ceiling
$3,701,073, one round
Minimum score to advance
55 points
4% / tax-exempt bond deals
Non-competitive; accepted January 1 - August 31; not subject to the minimum score
Native American Set-Aside
Highest-scoring qualified application on North Dakota reservations or tribal land (including the Trenton Indian Service Area) awarded first in Round 1
Geographic Location rule
No more than two projects approved in any one city per competitive round -- a cap, not a scored category
Unsuitable-site buffers
1/2 mile from airports, industrial sites, pipelines, hazardous waste, landfills, junkyards, wastewater treatment; 500 ft from active rail, substations, transmission lines; flood hazard areas and wetlands categorically flagged
Maximum qualified basis per square foot
$355.79 (2027 plan), down from $468.25 (2026 plan)
Fastest-growing county in the U.S., 2010-2020
McKenzie County, ND (Bakken oil boom): 6,360 to 14,704, +131%, per U.S. Census Bureau decennial counts
Market study freshness requirement
Must be completed within 6 months of Application Close Date, per NCHMA model content standards
QCT/DDA basis boost
30% eligible-basis increase for projects entirely within a HUD-designated QCT or DDA -- federal designation, no ND-specific overlay found
EZFeasi North Dakota coverage today
Zero -- no parcel, zoning, hazard, QCT/DDA, or award data loaded in any tool

Governing authority

  • Unsuitable sites and Agency's discretionary rejection authorityNDHFA 2027 LIHTC Allocation Plan, Section 3(B)
  • 9% application round, closing date, and credit ceilingNDHFA 2027 LIHTC Allocation Plan, Section 4
  • 4% credit rolling window and non-competitive scoring exemptionNDHFA 2027 LIHTC Allocation Plan, Section 4; Section 7 (minimum-score exemption for tax-exempt bond deals)
  • Minimum score, Geographic Location rule, Redevelopment/QCT scoringNDHFA 2027 LIHTC Allocation Plan, Section 7
  • Native American Set-AsideNDHFA 2027 LIHTC Allocation Plan, Section 8(B)
  • Basis boost for HUD-designated QCT/DDANDHFA 2027 LIHTC Allocation Plan, Section 2(B)
  • Maximum qualified basis per square foot rejection groundNDHFA 2027 LIHTC Allocation Plan, Section 5, closing paragraph
  • 2027 QAP draft publication, comment period, hearing, and Industrial Commission approval datesIndustrial Commission of North Dakota, meeting minutes, March 25, 2026
  • 2026 plan's Round 1 closing date and credit ceiling (superseded)NDHFA 2026 LIHTC Allocation Plan, Section 4
  • 2026 plan's Maximum Qualified Basis Per Square Foot (superseded)NDHFA 2026 LIHTC Allocation Plan, Section 5, closing paragraph
  • Five fastest-growing Northern Great Plains counties (2010-2019) and McKenzie County as the nation's fastest-growing countyU.S. Census Bureau, "Northern Great Plains Population Gains Higher Than United States Last Decade" (2021)
  • McKenzie and Williams County 2010 and 2020 decennial population countsU.S. Census Bureau, 2010 and 2020 Decennial Census county population totals

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